If the 2012 presidential election were held today, President Obama and possible Republican nominee Mitt Romney would be all tied up at 45% each, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points -- 48% to 42%.In both match-ups, seven percent (7%) like some other candidate, with three percent (3%) undecided.Palin is second only to Romney as the presidential candidate Republican voters say right now that they'll vote for in 2012 state GOP primaries . But she's also one of two candidates they least hope wins the party's nomination.
Just 21% of voters nationwide say Palin should run as an independent if she loses the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. Sixty-three percent (63%) say the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee should not run as an independent. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.If Romney secured the GOP nomination and Palin chose to run as an independent candidate, Obama would win the resulting three-way race with 44% of the vote. Romney is the choice of 33% of the voters under that scenario, with Palin a distant third with 16% support. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.Last November, Obama defeated Republican presidential nominee John McCain by a 53% to 46% margin.
When Romney is the Republican nominee, he beats Obama among unaffiliated voters 48% to 41%. But when Palin is the GOP candidate, unaffiliated voters prefer Obama by a 47% to 41% margin.Men prefer the Republican over Obama whether it's Romney or Obama, while women like the president better in both match-ups. Palin continues to fare more poorly among women than her male rivals.In a three-way race, Palin hurts Romney by drawing 28% Republican support. Romney captures 52% of the GOP vote in that scenario
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