James Carville, one of the Democratic Party’s most savvy strategists, is predicting that the GOP is facing a tsunami of demographic change that will make it the minority party for the next 40 years.
While Carville’s new book, “40 More Years: How the Democrats Will Rule the Next Generation,” is bringing glee to Democrats, it is fast becoming a must read for Republicans worried about their party.
In an exclusive interview with Newsmax.TV, Carville reveals that he’s gotten surprising interest from GOP friends.
"I ran my thesis by any number of Republican consultants and they all agree with it," he said. Carville is careful to point out that he expects Republicans to occasionally capture the White House during the coming decades of Democratic rule. He notes that during the years of GOP dominance the Democrats managed to capture the White House for 12 of the preceding 40 years.
But the occasional GOP presidential victories ahead won't change the reality that Democratic strength among young voters and minorities will give it a lock grip over DC policymaking, he predicts. "One thing I know about Republicans is they're very sort of good at campaigning, and they're going to adjust," Carville tells Newsmax. "The question is, how do they adjust?"
He concedes Republicans may get a boost from the perception that Democrats are responsible for whatever goes awry, given their political dominance.
"In the 2012 elections, [Democrats] are going to be accountable for anything goes wrong. Of course there's always the possibility some things could go right, too. And if that were to happen, they'd probably take some credit for that."
Other highlights from Carville's exclusive Newsmax interview:
# Sarah Palin is "probably" the candidate that Democrats would most prefer to run against in 2012. "I think she's compelling. I don't have much respect for her curiosity, or I don't have much respect for the sort of thought she's given the issues facing the world, or her type of experience," Carville says.
# Carville also ventured a guess that Republicans would fare reasonably well in the 2010 midterm elections. "I think that Republicans will pick up some House seats. I don't think there's any doubt about that," he says. "And the Senate is I think a little more promising for the Democrats. But normally what happens is … the Senate and the House pretty much go in tandem. Right now this is subject to change. It's very, very early in the process. But it looks like the Republicans would be on course to get some gains."
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