Sunday, May 24, 2009

Why Romney is likely to take the Chance to run

Max Twain’s Percentages on chances of potential '12 candidiates:

Mitt Romney 95%
Mitt is in, and he is gaining the backing of the congressional establishment more each week. He seems to be the guy gaining the most favors with candidates across the country, and like Huckabee, has never seemed to stop campaigning. I know some feel that if Obama seems unbeatable that Mitt won’t run, but I doubt that scenario. Decisions toMax Twain’s Percentages run for President need to come 2 years out, and it’s impossible to determine that far out what the eventual position of Obama will be. This is what i call the ‘Cuomo Rule’, which is if you have the chance to run, no matter how bleak the polls, you take the chance. If Cuomo had run despite Bush 41’s high numbers, he would have been President. Eventually the economy turned, Perot entered, 41 forgot how much milk costs, and the country turned to the last clown standing. When the chance comes, you run, let the polls be damned. The only reason Mitt is not as much a mortal lock as T-Paw and Huck is because of Anne’s multiple sclerosis, and there is no way to be sure what her condition will be 3 1/2 years out. Unlike silky John Edwards, Mitt is clearly devoted to Anne, and would give up anything and everything for her, and that includes his presidential ambitions.

Potential VPs: Jeb Bush, Bobby Jindal, John Thune, Tom Ridge

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"A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty" (Churchill)